Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 12.197556 14.036292 15.998552 18.241870 20.728721 23.394299 26.460562
2025-01-26 10.116988 12.579993 15.365934 18.727702 22.650443 27.058976 32.362816
2025-02-02 8.635848 11.468580 14.832521 19.074513 24.230380 30.242072 37.726055
2025-02-09 7.375051 10.399060 14.150678 19.068277 25.258961 32.705497 42.242985
2025-02-16 6.074373 9.088333 12.990697 18.299029 25.205864 33.756422 44.995315
2025-02-23 5.234236 8.265567 12.344085 18.076413 25.751555 35.489904 48.572926
2025-03-02 4.469817 7.446456 11.604995 17.636752 25.935101 36.709415 51.480034
2025-03-09 3.911219 6.852183 11.107205 17.459205 26.414706 38.283140 54.846508
2025-03-16 3.370414 6.217156 10.484468 17.040356 26.508571 39.309235 57.483227
2025-03-23 3.036621 5.864953 10.239305 17.129408 27.288057 41.256748 61.378107
2025-03-30 2.710264 5.485117 9.913910 17.064629 27.823417 42.862834 64.830925
2025-04-06 2.479832 5.239698 9.772823 17.256994 28.722639 44.984749 69.031168
2025-04-13 2.260693 4.992164 9.611155 17.409265 29.571608 47.070097 73.255711
2025-04-20 2.130319 4.890437 9.677751 17.916933 30.964895 49.966018 78.687580
2025-04-27 1.984849 4.742894 9.652439 18.268099 32.122982 52.543940 83.720908
2025-05-04 1.797498 4.491067 9.424925 18.268722 32.727547 54.315673 87.626327
2025-05-11 1.522759 4.026453 8.780224 17.527986 32.122658 54.258526 88.855260
2025-05-18 1.352120 3.755308 8.460790 17.313933 32.336734 55.420415 91.881543
2025-05-25 1.175058 3.444360 8.038409 16.889556 32.180895 56.000850 94.042424
2025-06-01 1.046661 3.224776 7.770585 16.718200 32.425692 57.192173 97.131631
2025-06-08 0.908496 2.960193 7.389257 16.313666 32.254713 57.719300 99.213809
2025-06-15 0.831838 2.835598 7.279236 16.399711 32.913169 59.560120 103.330942
2025-06-22 0.749362 2.683056 7.097346 16.337150 33.307522 60.983623 106.827220